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Op-Ed
 
May 8, 2008
Military can't solve political problems

As the campaigns for the 1980 general elections unfolded, Yoweri Museveni, then the leader of the Uganda Patriotic Movement (UPM), blurted out a daring statement.

He declared that if Dr. Apollo Milton Obote’s UPC took power by fraud or by force, he would go to the bush to oppose the imposed government.

Obote retorted derisively that if Museveni went to the bush, he would follow and leave him there. He described Museveni as a mere scout-boy in the struggle against Idi Amin with no worthy credentials to challenge UPC’s right to power.

The verbal exchange heralded the imminent outbreak of war in the country. The overwhelming desire for a new political dispensation had, contrary to Obote’s expectations, caused the formation of the Uganda National Liberation Front (UNLF) as an umbrella organisation that took over government after the fall of Idi Amin. This left Obote sulking and fuming.

When Kampala was captured by Tanzanian forces, Obote’s small unit of exiled soldiers was rapidly recruited into its ranks of tens of thousands of elements based on ethnicity. The aim was to shock and awe the county into submission to his will.

With the armed bands of Obote on the rampage, the UNLF period was made ungovernable. The Obote soldiers overthrew Godfrey Binaisa’s UNLF-led government and installed the UPC protégé Paulo Muwanga in power.

At last Obote felt elated. He returned to the country by landing in Bushenyi on May 27, 1980 in a procession of power and triumph.


Although the ensuing campaigns were supposedly to win over supporters by the parties, Obote relentlessly pilloried the contending groups, questioning whether they had any military commanders to deserve power.
The Democratic Party (DP) used to taunt UPC that it was very popular and its next meeting with its leader Dr. Paul Ssemogerere would be at the State House. Obote sarcastically asked what business the DP had in imagining being in State House. In fact, Obote offered to instruct Paulo Muwanga to take DP leaders on a guided tour of State House gardens.

Increasingly, many Ugandans saw the seizure of power by the UPC as a fait accompli. This is why various groups, including the National Resistance Army (NRA), sprang up to prepare for armed resistance.

February 6, 1981 is usually lauded as the beginning of the NRA struggle by 27 patriots who were infuriated by the UPC electoral fraud. What is not normally said is that the decision to fight had been hatched before the electoral outcome.

It is vital to understand the true cause of a phenomenon in order to discern its exigency. Cause denotes that which gives rise and leads to an event. Any event that results from cause translates into its effect; cause fathers effect; effect consummates it.

The two are intimately connected; cause generates effect, while effect extinguishes it, becoming the new cause and effect in endless progression.

Cause should be distinguished from the occasion in which it takes place. As a rule, cause always precedes effect.
However, this does not imply that everything that comes before an occurrence is its cause.

Heavy drinking of alcohol causes drunkenness. But the eating of mchomo during the drinking cannot be added also as a cause of the drunkenness. The mchomo feat is only an occasion in the process of getting drunk. Occasion is also different from pretext; the clever hide behind an occasion to justify a pre-determined agenda.

The UPC’s flagrant rigging of the elections was not the cause, but merely the appropriate occasion and pretext for the insurgency.

Even if UPC had not declared itself victors in the elections, the guerilla war was already inevitable. The UPC had armed itself, rearing for a fight to destabilise the country unless Obote assumed power.
Equally determined were many Ugandan groups to prevent the riding roughshod over the country by the UPC, but each with their own independent intentions and methodology.

This is why the eventual victory of the NRM did not limit itself to the mechanics of 1980 rigged elections. If the gist of NRM grievances had been just the stolen elections, then the NRA should have confined itself simply to handing over power to the perceived victors of the elections.

The real cause of the NRM struggle was our objection to Obote’s determined drive for military hegemony based on ethnic instigation to subdue our country and violate the sacred principles by which our people aspired to be governed as a modern African state.

We decided to overthrow the UPC regime and the complete dismantling of its armed structure.
It was followed with the building of a truly disciplined, detribalised national army. Even though we have created a disciplined force in the UPDF, we are still faltering in many other-respects.
The NRM itself is run like a private organisation. Elections are commercialised. Abuse of authority is blood cuddling.
The existence of a strong army does not dispel the necessity for political organisation to address social questions. Even strong armies collapse from incompetent politics.

That was true before. It should be the lesson now.

James Magode Ikuya, The author is a member of NEC (NRM) representing historicals. megawa@hotmail.com

 
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